General Election Bookies Predictions

We reviewed every 2024 UK General Election betting market and based on the odds on offer we were able to predict what the bookies thought was going to happen! Now the results are in, we can show you what they got right and what they got wrong!

Click on the betting market on the left hand side for our reviews and predictions.

Betting Markets

Most Seats


Most Seats Without Labour


Most Votes

Prime Minister After Next General Election

Overall Majority


Post Election Government

Voter Turnout



How Many Seats Will The Conservative Party Win


How Many Seats Will Conservatives Lose


Conservative Party Vote Percentage



How Many Seats Will The Green Party Win

How Many Seats Will The Labour Party Win



Labour Party Vote Percentage


How Many Seats Will The Liberal Democrats Win

Liberal Democrats Vote Percentage


How Many Seats Will Reform UK Win


Reform UK Party Vote Percentage


How Many Seats Will The SNP Win


SNP Vote Percentage



Conservatives v Reform UK Vote Percentage


Will Jeremy Corbyn win his seat?

Will Nigel Farage win his seat?

Will George Galloway win his seat?

Will Keir Starmer win his seat?

Will Rishi Sunak win his seat?

Most Seats In Northern Ireland


Most Seats In Scotland


Most Seats In Wales

Bookies Predictions

Labour - Labour were 1/20 hot favourites win the most seats and they duly delivered.

Conservatives - The Conservatives were 1/12 favourites to win the most seats without Labour and they won 121 seats with Liberal Democrats on 72.

Labour - The Labour Party (odds of 1.04) won the most votes with 9,704,655 followed by the Conservatives with 6,827,311.

Keir Starmer - The 1/20 hot favourite won as expected.

Labour Majority - Labour were 1/8 to win an overall majority and they easily achieved that.

Labour Majority - Odds of 1/10 were available in this betting market which indeed resulted in a Labour Majority.

60 - 64.99% - The actual voter turnout percentage was 59.9% so the bookies got this wrong by the smallest of margins. 60 - 64.99% was on offer at 11/8 but the winning selection of 55 - 59.99% was on offer at 10/3.

50 - 99 Seats - The bookies predicted between 50 - 99 seats (Odds of 11/10)  but the Conservatives actually won 121 seats. 100 - 149 seats was on offer at 12/5. 

275 - 299 Seats - The Conservatives lost 251 seats so once again the bookies were a bit off with their predictions here. 275 - 299 seats were on offer at odds of 3.85 but 250 - 274 losses were on offer at odds of 4.8.

19.99% or lower - The Conservatives actually received a vote percentage 23.7% which was better than the bookies predicted. 19.99% or lower was the pre-election favourite selection at odds of 13/8 but the winning selection of 22 - 23.99% was on offer at 4/1.

2 Seats - The Green Party exceeded expectation and won 4 seats but the bookies only offered 2 seats or more at odds of 8/13.

450 - 499 Seats - Labour didn't win as many seats as the bookies were predicting by winning 411 seats. 450 - 499 seats were on offer at odds of 5/4 but the winning selection of 400 - 449 seats were on offer at 7/4.

38 - 39.99% - Despite a landslide victory, Labour only received 33.7% of the vote and you could have got massive odds of 44.0 for 32 - 33.99% of the vote share. 38 - 39.99% was on offer at just 2.66.

58 - 59 Seats - The Liberal Democrats exceeded expectation by winning 72 seats. Odds of 11/10 were on offer for 60 seats or more.

10 - 11.99% - The Liberal Democrats received a vote share of 12.2%. The pre-election favourite selection was 10 - 11.99% on offer at 7/4 but the winning selection of 12 - 13.99% was on offer at 5/2.

7 seats or more - Reform UK won 5 seats which was below bookies expectations for them. 7 seats or more was available at odds of 13/8 but 5 or 6 seats, the winning selection was on offer at odds of 7/1.

20% or higher - The bookies had high hopes for Reform UK and 20% or higher was their shortest price selection on offer at odds of 13/8.  They achieved 14.3% of the vote percentage and the winning selection, 14 - 15.99% was available at odds of 11/2.

21 Seats - The SNP had an even worse set of General Election results than the bookies were predicting by winning just 9 seats. Under 19.5 seats was on offer at odds of 6/5.

30.5% - Despite losing more seats than predicted (38), the SNP achieved 30% vote share which is more or less what the bookies predicted. Under 30.5% was on offer at odds of 17/20.

Conservatives - The Conservatives did beat Reform UK's vote percentage with 23.7% versus 14.3% and there were odds of 1/3 on offer for that outcome.

Yes - The bookies correctly predicted Jeremy Corbyn would win his seat.

Yes - The bookies correctly predicted Nigel Farage would win his seat.

No - The bookies correctly predicted George Galloway would not win his seat.

Yes - The bookies correctly predicted Keir Starmer would win his seat.

Yes - The bookies correctly predicted Rishi Sunak would win his seat.

Sinn Fein - The bookies correctly predicted that Sinn Fein would win the most seats in Northern Ireland. They won 7 seats to the DUP's 5.

Labour - The bookies correctly predicted that Labour would win the most seats in Scotland. They won 37 seats, the SNP 9, the Liberal Democrats 6 and the Conservative Party 5.

Labour - The bookies correctly predicted that Labour would win the most seats in Wales. They won 27 seats, Plaid Cymru won 4 and the Liberal Democrats 1. The Conservatives failed to win a single seat in Wales.



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